Saturday 31 December 2011

Last NFL Regular week

This is a terrible week normally as most teams are looking at the post season, but as always I have a few picks.
I will post early games first then the late games tomorrow.I really like the spread on the Steelers but thats a late game and will follow.

Jets +3 ,
Back the Dolphins ATS at -3

Nothing more would satisfy the Dolphins more than putting the JETS out of the playoffs. The JETS need to win and some great luck too. But Mark Sanchez has shown that he is in capable at this level and this will be his last game as a New York Jet. The Dolphins will find it hard to score against this team, but in essence the JETS will find out what their QB is made of. I feel sorry for the guy but even more sorry for the fans as they are a good team.

49 ers v Rams
Back 49 ers ATS at -10.5

The spread is big at -10.5 but they want the bye and they want to win this game to get. The Rams are poor and have won only two games this year. St. Louis team has lost six straight games now by a 150-53 score. I think the 49 ers will push over the Rams and beat the spread, although if you can get 9.5 that would be nice.

Carolina v Saints
Back the Saints ATS -7.5 (BUT GOING)
Don’t forget that Brees needs to expand his record, as Mr Brady is only 190 yards behind him. It will be important for the Saints to keep winning and they are so tough at the line of scrimmage that the spread to me looks good.

Saturday 24 December 2011

Saint Stephens Day NFL Cracker

Well call it what you may this is a Saints game all the way for me. I am taking the -7 points , while Drew will be chasing the Dan  Marino record of the 80s, needing another 305 yards. The Saints are through to the Superbowl playoff but looking to win the Division at home. The Falcons will have a wild card spot and I feel their minds will be on the wild card game opposed to any pyrrhic  win over the Saints.


Back the Saints -7 ATS


Merry Christmas.








Very little to choose from this weekend in the NFL.


But I think the below are worth a festive punt.


Chargers v Detroit
Back Detroit -2 Pts ATS


The Lions should head into the post season by taking care of the Chargers at home. I know the Chargers have been playing for their jobs in the last few weeks, but have come good at the wrong time. There is too much variation in the Lions attack. The Chargers Big Air plays work well - but for me they are a roll of a dice. Against a smart defence Big Air plays can be returned to your own end zone if your not perfect.


Broncos v Bills
Back Broncos -3 Pts ATS


The Broncos should be able to get past a Bills team that really needs to find themselves and their game plan. Fitzpatrick is not a bad QB, in fact he has bundles of talent. But without a gamplan he looks flat and is then prone to errors. Tebow keeps getting better and better and last week-ends defeat against the master wont have hurt.


49ers v Seahawks
Back the 49ers -1Pt ATS
San Francisco has yet to give up a rushing touchdown. With a first round bye at stake I think the 49ers will dominate a low scoring game,  I do like the ATS. The Seahawks numbers don't stack up for me on offence and the 49ers will be looking as ever to give themselves the best chance of lifting the Lombardi. 


Giants v Jets
Back Giants +3 Pts ATS
Small wagers in this game, it looks like a straight decision on which QB will perform in the air. Well I have made my views known about Mark Sanchez and as much as I dislike the Giants (Jets fan) I cant back a Jets team with Sanchez at the wheel.


HAPPY CHRISTMAS

Thursday 22 December 2011

Thursday Night Turkey Texan Stuffing

This is Houston's best opportunity to finally win in Indianapolis. But I am on the Colts all the way here.
Having their first defeat in more than two months, the Texans visit a  Colts team looking to build on its first win.
Colts had been 15-1 in this series before losing two of the last three meetings, including a season-opening 34-7 defeat at Houston on Sept. 11. Bizarrely the Texans are 0-9 all-time at Indi. This is the first time to play there without having to face Manning.
Indianapolis (1-13) is coming off its first win; shocking Tennessee 27-13.Texans secured their first postseason berth and division title in Week 14. The Texans find themselves in a similar situation Thursday and likely know better than to overlook a Colts team that has plenty to celebrate following a 0-13 start.
Indianapolis rallied in the second half to defeat the Titans, posting its first victory without Manning in more than 14 years. Making a third consecutive start, Dan Orlovsky was just 11 of 17 for 82 yards but threw for the go-ahead touchdown in the third quarter, and no Colts passes were intercepted for the first time since Week 5. Donald Brown carried 16 times for a career-high 161 yards, including an 80-yard TD run late in the fourth.

Rookie T.J. Yates, thrown under centre with season-ending injuries to Matt Schaub and Matt Leinart, also had a forgettable performance as he went 19 of 30 for 212 yards and two interceptions.
Back the Colts +6.5
Back the Colts on the Straight also
Play the overs at 40

Sunday 18 December 2011

Late game NFL Post

Nothing in the early games grabbed me, too dodgy at this time for some of the teams.

But in the late games I like the look of the below:

New England v Denver
Back the Pats -7 points

I do like Tebow but Brady is in vintage form and this will be a lesson for the rookie by one of the masters of the game, and that's from a jets fan.Broncos cant cook up a good defence when the game-plan.

Jets v Eagles

I don't like the look of the jets going into this game, I think the eagles will be much better in the offence. This is the type of game a seasoned coach like Andy Reid , take - 3 the points with Eagles.

Sunday 11 December 2011

NFL Sunday

Nothing in the early....but my late games picks are


Oakland +11.5 Points ATS V GB Packers
- When will GB rest players and move into the auto-pilot for the play-offs, maybe tonight.


Broncos -2.5 Points ATS v The Bears
- The Bears without Forte are not the same and Mr Cutler is also missing. Tebow seems to be taking over and i expect the -2.5 to be beaten by the Broncos.

Chargers -6.5 Points ATS v Buffalo Bills
A very old AFL rival match sees the Chargers chance their luck on some results to get to the play-offs. The Bills and the Chargers are poor teams but i have a feeling some of the Chargers are playing for the livelihood, including the coach.


The late game sees the Cowboys and the Giants go head to head - cracking game. I will send out a picks for that later.

Friday 2 December 2011

NFL Sunday Night- Early Late Game

Before I launch into my 80% strike rate last week (4 from 5) I think I need to tell you that you can avail of my weekend bet: Green Bay Packers -6.5 Pts v Giants. For me, this is my bet of the weekend and I think it deserves a triple play.


Late game pick is Green Bay -6.5 pts ATS - , early picks are as follows: -

Bronco’s v Vikings
Back Broncos +1.5 pts ATS

As much as I dislike all the Tebow nonsense, the QB plays well and has matured quickly into a consistent QB. The Vikings have had a terrible season and it looks likely that Adrian Peterson their star RB will be missing or at least limping. Chris Ponder (who?) is now the number choice for the Vikings as McNabb was released last week; Soon to be appearing at the New York Jets though.
So the overall play by the Broncos, capped with Tebow's ability to make plays should allow them to win and your getting +1.5 pts before a ball is kicked.

Jets v Redskins
Back Redskins +3 ATS

This match up has been a tight affair in the past. Last weeks win over the Bills should help the JETS, but I am not sure that Mark Sanchez has what it takes and his luck will run-out against the Redskins. Mark has had too many interceptions , that’s his big weakness and the JETS know they hang on a thread when he hits the field. He hit a career hit in TD's last week but only completed 48 percent of passes.

The Redskins are a consistent team and should win. Rex Grossman is a seasoned QB playing well at present. I think the JETS defence can contain him but I have no reason to think that Sanchez will out pass him.