The Monday Night Game

Saints v Giants
Back Saints -6.5

Tonight's game is not the easiest to figure out. The Saints are electric and unbeaten at home and the Giants are erratic. The Giants are capable of solid performances; but equally can turn up flat and sluggish. I am not convinced that I will have a bet in this game, but there is a bit of 4/5 with Betfair if you take the Saints at -6.5.

I just think that this game will boil down to which ever team allows more space for receivers to make plays. If the Saints get their running game going with Sproles & Co, then it could make life difficult for the Giants.In addition some of Mannings throws have been out of character and I think that the Saints pose a bigger threat on turnovers.


Back the Saints -6.5 @ 4/5 or better if you can find it.

Sunday Night Late Game

New England v Eagles
Back NE -3

This is my bet of the weekend , basically one of the most erratic teams in the NFL are the Eagles. Tom Brady, I feel, likes playing against them as his style of attack works well against their defence. To be fair the Eagles are playing well, but their injury list is not helping and they have not beaten the Pats since 1999 (that's not a cue to all you Prince fans !). These games have been tight in the past but I think Vince Young is going to be under severe pass-defence-pressure tonight and Brady, well, sometimes it feels like he can slow down a game to pick his pass.

Denver v Chargers
Back Chargers -4.5

This is a must win game for the chargers who will kiss their post season goodbye and Norv will kiss his head coach job goodbye too. All of the stats say that the Chargers should win this by a TD. But if Rivers keeps going as he is; then the stats on turnovers will hit the roof. However, I may eat my words but I am willing to give the Chargers one more go to show their ability.

Sunday Night Early Games

Here are my picks for the early games - the rest of the night looks more interesting.


Bills v JETS
Back the Bills +9 points


The Bills look like a free-fall team, but that's when your most dangerous.Therefore
+9 points and more in places is too,too much. I am backing the Bills ATS at +9 points.
Hopefully Sanchez has a lousy game and Rex Ryan then finally decides to replace him.
But as both teams are 5-5 this is a crunch game and I dont like the look of Sanchez and his turnovers.


Texans v Jaguars
Back the Texans -6 points


Injuries and all considered; this game should go to the Texans. The ATS IS -6 points and that's good enough for me. Their receiving and running structure should be able to get past the Jags who almost rely on Jones Drew to come up with big plays - but not tonight.

Turkey teasers! !!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Sorry late blog my net is giving grief!

Tonights games

Back each one seperately and one tri bet.

Packers
Dolphins
49'ers

All on the spread

Good luck and sorry for the brief blog, but needs must.

The Monday Night Game

Back the Chiefs at +17.5


This week the Chiefs face the Patriots in the Gillete stadium. By all accounts the Chiefs look like they will get a roasting as their regular QB and ex-Patriot Matt Cassel is out for the season. Step in Tyler Palko, hardly a household name and boy will he be under the flack tonight.


Kansas have one hope, keep the ball on the ground and run it all night long. That's a fine plan except for one thing - Tom Brady's 2 minute drill down the field is unstoppable right now. It is always difficult though to gauge a new QB as he is unknown, but unknown for a reason.But equally difficult when your defence do not have a book on the player.


So everyone will back the Patriots at -17. Some are going a few points over that also. I think Tom Brady will be relishing this one to install the Patriots firmly at the top of their division before next weeks game against the Eagles, but this is a must win game for the Chiefs and the games have always been relatively close.


I am back the Chiefs at +17.5

Sunday Night Early Picks

9.15 Game
Backing The Chicago Bears  v Chargers
Bears are -3.5 or -4 ATS 


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EARLY GAME PICKS WITH LATE GAME PICKS TO FOLLOW!


Oakland v Vikings
Back Oakland +1 ATS


The Vikings are in free fall and the beleaguered Vikings will struggle against a team that has its injuries, but seems to have found itself after Al Davis left the building. Maybe he is working the magic , but whatever it is ; they keep doing it.Carson Palmer has been drafted in as replacement QB - he is a quick learner and I think his style will work well and allow the Raiders to beat a sad looking Vikings.


Bills v Dolphins
Back Dolphins -1.5 ATS


This is a grudge match but the Phin's are trending upwards and meeting the Bills on the way down. This will be a tight game but expect the running and defence of the Phin's to holds out. These teams have met countless times over the year an the Bills will fancy taking home the points; but they are meeting a different Miami Dolphins this time; who will dominate the running game.


Cowboys v Redskins
Back Cowboys -7 ATS


Well Tony Romo is playing the game of his life at the moment an if the Cowboys could wind it back then they would be looking like a good play-off team. But this is a clincher for either team towards the play-offs and I feel the Cowboys under Romo have far too much fire power and in addition they are now getting their defence in order. The Redskins look liker a team that has lost its way and is struggling to find its style.

The Thursday Night Late Game

JETS V BRONCOS


Back NY JETS -6 @ 10/11 with your local friendly bookie.




The loser of this game will kiss good-bye to the play-offs - so what I hear you say; perhaps. But Rex Ryan will only want the JETS to win , while the Broncos are still toying around with their structure.


The Broncos have totally dominated some of these matches in the past. But New York have managed to stage late come backs - but all close games. I am not a fan of the over hyped Tim Tebow and Mark Sanchez , to me, is just not good enough.


The JETS will run the ball all day on this - they will beat them there. Tebow will try to air it , but I think the JETS have a large advantage in defence which should tell over the rookie to return some interceptions. Mark Sanchez only needs to play well and not give the ball away - but that seems to be asking a great deal these days. Sloppy mistakes have cost the JETS dearly , but they keep on plugging away with LT. At minus 6 I like the JETS .

The Monday Night Game

Apologies for not blogging my late picks last night. Wifi went down.

** late update mcnabb not starting**

Great weekend so far! but on to Monday Night Football.

Packers v Vikings

This Monday Night match seems a hopeless exercise for the Vikings. Aaron Rodgers is heading for the best QB season in NFL history.
Rodgers performance was stated by Vikings defensive end Jared Allen by saying, "The dude is throwing balls where most people don't throw 'em."
It is very true; should the Packers and Rogers dominate at home this evening it will be a very tough four-quarters for the Vikings, with the venerable and questionable (cough, cough) Donovan McNabb as QB coming off a bye week..perhaps as starter.

Only 22 days ago, Rodgers opened a 33-27 victory over the Vikings by completing 13 consecutive passes. At halftime, he was 17-for-20, with the only incompletion coming on two drops and a spike. He's completing 72.5 percent of his passes, with a virtual telepathic relationship with his targets. Tonight seems axiomatic that the Cheeseheads will win and win big. But I am not that sure, as Nikki Lauda once said he likes to "win every race by going as slowly as possible".

The Cheeseheads need to think play-off and getting their players to the Superbowl in the best shape possible. That's why I believe tonight the Packers will fall short of the required spread. The Packers gave up 435 total yards at Minnesota on Oct. 23, when they held on for a 33-27 win. Adrian Peterson gained 175 of the Vikings season-high 218 rushing yards in that contest as he should cause more trouble tonight.

Back Vikings +13 or +13.5 in places.

Value; GB Points over 31.5

JAGUARS V COLTS
BACKS JAGS -3

I am with the Jags on this one , the colts cant find at rhythm on any form of play and are now becoming the whipping boys. Happy that the Jags have to over come just three points in the spread. So the JAGS for me
and Jones Drew , the pint sized, running back to make it a winning bet.


BILLS V COWBOYS
BACK COWBOYS - 5.5
The Bills have hit a skid and they are about to hit another barrier in Tony Romo. Dallas are now at least a touch-down better that the Bills. The Bills will bounce back after this but the JETS have showed everyone how to beat them in the air and on the ground.

STEELERS V BENGALS
Well Ben knows the Bengals like no other and I think that he will be in a position to put some plays on the board. The thing is that the Bengals start off well but have been found out against better teams who can be , wait for it , consistent.
Back the Steelers -3

DOLPHINS V REDSKINS
BACK REDSKINS -4

This should go to the Skins who are now putting out some form of play together to demonstrate to their fans that they at least have some hope of getting through the season with some wins. The Dolphins have showed some form in recent weeks , but their season is over unless Marino kits out for them again and hits pay-dirt like there is no tomorrow. But that's just a dream like their win over the skins tomorrow.

BACK WITH LATE GAME PICKS!

The Thursday Night Game

Chargers v Raiders

Chargers at home so grab the -6.5 available with 32 Red, Betdaq , WBX

The Chargers are at home and vying for a three-way tie in their division along with the Chiefs and Raiders. The Raiders are relying on their second string QB who has given away 6 interceptions in his last 2 games.

In addition I think if Norv Turner read some of John Maddens play-book he might be able to come up with a consistent bunch of players. Its all tight-running-plays or 40 yards passes, no grinding in between and that confuses the Chargers more that their opponents.

Oakland shoot themselves in the foot with their penalties and general lack if discipline. Both teams fail to finish out fourth quarters but I think the Raiders lack discipline and their faltering in the fourth quarter will be the difference.

Go Chargers !

The Monday Night Game Week 9

Bears v Eagles

Back Bears +8.5 Pts available

Tonight will be a great game between a pass-offence and a run-offence; the difference will revolve around interceptions and of course the dreaded fumble. I feel the Bears are not +8.5 worse off than the Eagles. In fact, I think the Bears could beat the Eagles if Mr Cutler is on form, but he has more hormonal episodes than a teenage schoolgirl who has lost her first crush; to her best friend. Therefore, I will be taking the +8.5 cushion to round off a good weekend on the NFL. At a push I would say that total points at 47 is far too high, but I won’t play that market. Good luck on your pick, I think that a moderate passing game by the Bears armed with a heavy run game should undo the Eagles. If you also look at Vicks record against the Bears is tells its own story, he does not do well against this offence - he hates to run against them as they have all too often put him out of action with a backstop defensive play.

NFL Week 9 Picks

We had a great Sunday night last week and a poor result on Monday, but lets look forward to this Sunday and hit Profit Street. There are great games this weekend such as the Bills v Jets , Pats v Giants and the Bucs v Saints, but I am not looking at those games, too close to call. I will, as usual, post the late game on Sunday night; but here are the Week 8 handicap picks:-

Miami v Chief

Back Chiefs 

I have a tough time getting the Chiefs right, but this look like a good opportunity for them to win again at home and set a new win record since their 2003 9-0 start to NFL season. The Dolphins will rely so much on Reggie Bush and his running, but those legs aren’t what they used to be and this is the time when running backs start to feel the mid-season toll on their body. The same way we coach potatoes feel the heat after a 14 inch pepperoni special with extra chilli. The Chief will pick-off the second string Dolphins QB and secure win , if not a blow out.

SanFrancisco v Redskins

Back the 49'ers

This will be a close game but I expect the running Frank Gore to blast a couple of TD's past the Redskins defence. The Redskins will not look to run, only pass play as their run game has suffered miserably of late due to what I can only describe as sloppy execution of plays and lack of follow through by their centres.

San Francisco is looking to win 6 in a row, a feet not done in 14 years. But Alex Smith the QB is a guy who can make play happen and I feel the 49'ers will do just that.

Green Bay v Chargers

Back Green Bay

I am sorry but Green Bay are at least one full TD better than any team in the league, even given a 14 point kicking in the first half of a game they have shown an ability to come back and win. I am taking this as my best bet of the weekend; the Packers are 8-1 all-time against the Charges and have won the last 5 meetings. Green Bay is coming off a bye week and the Chargers are coming off a short week. Green Bay usually expects to bag a win after their bye-week, unlike the Chargers who really need to wave Norv goodbye.