Friday 20 January 2012

SUPERBOWL here we come

Well this is the last hurdle for all teams who wish to enter the big one.

BACK THE PATS - 7 PTS ATS

This is familiar territory for the Pats and Bill Bellyache. Last week the Ravens looked like they were going to send the Texans home very swiftly. But we all saw how their pass defence opened up quicker than a bag of Doritos at a weight watchers convention. Joe Flacco is not the guy you want in charge of a pressure game like this, the Ravens will rely on their big big big defence, but the best medicine for that illness is a geekie QB like Tom Brady. The Pats have the best two-minute drill in the game and I think that they will be no match at all, with the Pats running and passing, forcing the Ravens to attack it will be tough. Q Joe Flacco who goes all headless chicken when the pressure is on.

Back the GIANTS +2.5 ATS

The public are behind the 49 ers and guess what, they are good and unbeatable at home. But the +2.5 on offer with the Giants is too good to miss and I think that they will again relish being underdogs. They hammered the Packers albeit rife with mistakes - but they pulled miles clear and their game def/off is very complete. Speaking about pressure the 49 ers are the type of team who are used to being in the lead and control - but what happens when that changes? Chaos. Well not exactly, but they start to make plays that they would not normally and that is what Coughlin will be looking for. I would love to see the 49 ers win and I hope they do, but the pocket is with the Giants.

Saturday 14 January 2012

Divisional play-offs

Great to see Jeff Fisher back in the NFL , always liked him as a coach with the Titans.


Onto tonights games, I am looking no further than the Saints at -3 tonight to beat the 49 ers. It will be a tough game but the 49 ers running game suffers from lack of air-play. Well the Saints have it in all departments and tonight at home , their mascot Gumbo should be looking to see the Saints hammer the 49 ers.


Later  is the great and holy Tim Tebow against the master Tom Brady , which that hurst as a JETS fan. He is so close to Drew Brees on passing it is hard to see how they will be stopped by the Broncos. Bill Bellyache will also be looking to pick some of those long Tebow passes and that will be inevitably thrown high and long . Still for me I will be playing the Broncos at +13.5 but may opt for higher points. I am not sure that it will be the wash out that everyone expects.


Back Saints -3 points ATS
Back Broncos +13.5 points ATS


Good luck all.

Saturday 7 January 2012

WILDCARD SATURDAY AND SUNDAY

Late game


Falcons are too bad to believe , they choked. Taking the Broncos on tonight , I am backing the Steelers at -7 to wrap up a good weekend.


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Early game


As stated last night I am on the Falcons ATS and money line. Hope you enjoyed my three winning bets on last nights match.I will post about the Steelers game later.


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Short post but basically I will be backing the following:

HOUSTON ATS - 4 Pts 
Unstoppable at home and with an offence that is firing I feel that the Bengal’s will struggle to go four quarters. But the Texans need to score first to ease nerves. Not much between the teams but too many interceptions has cost the Bengal’s games and I think that the turnovers will be a key part of this match up.

SAINTS ATS -10.5 Pts
What is there left to say about a Saints team that is getting better every week, with their record setting QB. I am not sure if the Lions are quite ready for this match, but I think the Saints will be able to beat the Lions and cover.

Tomorrow’s games look good and I have heavily backed the Falcons ATS, but will send update tomorrow. Enjoy the games and hopefully it will be a very profitable one.

Saturday 31 December 2011

Last NFL Regular week

This is a terrible week normally as most teams are looking at the post season, but as always I have a few picks.
I will post early games first then the late games tomorrow.I really like the spread on the Steelers but thats a late game and will follow.

Jets +3 ,
Back the Dolphins ATS at -3

Nothing more would satisfy the Dolphins more than putting the JETS out of the playoffs. The JETS need to win and some great luck too. But Mark Sanchez has shown that he is in capable at this level and this will be his last game as a New York Jet. The Dolphins will find it hard to score against this team, but in essence the JETS will find out what their QB is made of. I feel sorry for the guy but even more sorry for the fans as they are a good team.

49 ers v Rams
Back 49 ers ATS at -10.5

The spread is big at -10.5 but they want the bye and they want to win this game to get. The Rams are poor and have won only two games this year. St. Louis team has lost six straight games now by a 150-53 score. I think the 49 ers will push over the Rams and beat the spread, although if you can get 9.5 that would be nice.

Carolina v Saints
Back the Saints ATS -7.5 (BUT GOING)
Don’t forget that Brees needs to expand his record, as Mr Brady is only 190 yards behind him. It will be important for the Saints to keep winning and they are so tough at the line of scrimmage that the spread to me looks good.

Saturday 24 December 2011

Saint Stephens Day NFL Cracker

Well call it what you may this is a Saints game all the way for me. I am taking the -7 points , while Drew will be chasing the Dan  Marino record of the 80s, needing another 305 yards. The Saints are through to the Superbowl playoff but looking to win the Division at home. The Falcons will have a wild card spot and I feel their minds will be on the wild card game opposed to any pyrrhic  win over the Saints.


Back the Saints -7 ATS


Merry Christmas.








Very little to choose from this weekend in the NFL.


But I think the below are worth a festive punt.


Chargers v Detroit
Back Detroit -2 Pts ATS


The Lions should head into the post season by taking care of the Chargers at home. I know the Chargers have been playing for their jobs in the last few weeks, but have come good at the wrong time. There is too much variation in the Lions attack. The Chargers Big Air plays work well - but for me they are a roll of a dice. Against a smart defence Big Air plays can be returned to your own end zone if your not perfect.


Broncos v Bills
Back Broncos -3 Pts ATS


The Broncos should be able to get past a Bills team that really needs to find themselves and their game plan. Fitzpatrick is not a bad QB, in fact he has bundles of talent. But without a gamplan he looks flat and is then prone to errors. Tebow keeps getting better and better and last week-ends defeat against the master wont have hurt.


49ers v Seahawks
Back the 49ers -1Pt ATS
San Francisco has yet to give up a rushing touchdown. With a first round bye at stake I think the 49ers will dominate a low scoring game,  I do like the ATS. The Seahawks numbers don't stack up for me on offence and the 49ers will be looking as ever to give themselves the best chance of lifting the Lombardi. 


Giants v Jets
Back Giants +3 Pts ATS
Small wagers in this game, it looks like a straight decision on which QB will perform in the air. Well I have made my views known about Mark Sanchez and as much as I dislike the Giants (Jets fan) I cant back a Jets team with Sanchez at the wheel.


HAPPY CHRISTMAS

Thursday 22 December 2011

Thursday Night Turkey Texan Stuffing

This is Houston's best opportunity to finally win in Indianapolis. But I am on the Colts all the way here.
Having their first defeat in more than two months, the Texans visit a  Colts team looking to build on its first win.
Colts had been 15-1 in this series before losing two of the last three meetings, including a season-opening 34-7 defeat at Houston on Sept. 11. Bizarrely the Texans are 0-9 all-time at Indi. This is the first time to play there without having to face Manning.
Indianapolis (1-13) is coming off its first win; shocking Tennessee 27-13.Texans secured their first postseason berth and division title in Week 14. The Texans find themselves in a similar situation Thursday and likely know better than to overlook a Colts team that has plenty to celebrate following a 0-13 start.
Indianapolis rallied in the second half to defeat the Titans, posting its first victory without Manning in more than 14 years. Making a third consecutive start, Dan Orlovsky was just 11 of 17 for 82 yards but threw for the go-ahead touchdown in the third quarter, and no Colts passes were intercepted for the first time since Week 5. Donald Brown carried 16 times for a career-high 161 yards, including an 80-yard TD run late in the fourth.

Rookie T.J. Yates, thrown under centre with season-ending injuries to Matt Schaub and Matt Leinart, also had a forgettable performance as he went 19 of 30 for 212 yards and two interceptions.
Back the Colts +6.5
Back the Colts on the Straight also
Play the overs at 40