Monday Night NFL Week 8

I hope you enjoyed last nights games, I had 6 picks and 4 winners. I still like the Bills for the Big One!!


Pick:- Back Chargers - 3

Well for 6 weeks we had a Monday Night winning bet, until last week. The loss was inevitable, but not in the way it worked out with the form being completely turned over.

Tonight’s match see the Kansas City Chiefs face the San Diego Chargers and the Chargers are at home in what is a Division game. The Chargers last game against the JETS took so much out of them, and, they also lost by giving the game away at the last hurdle.

Tonight is different due to the Division crunching aspect, the Chargers will win this, but it’s going to be tough. The Chargers need to beat the spread of -3 - I am confident they will, with change in the bag. Philip Rivers must have learned his lesson from last week and keep the ball tighter to avoid further humiliation by handing out interceptions, especially when they are returned for touchdowns.


Back Chargers - 3


LINK to San Diego Union Tribune

Week 8 Late game

Well what a rivalry we have here and quite frankly a very puzzling game, as both teams are inconsistent. But its a big,big,big game. However the Eagles are at home and I expect them to dominate. - Back Eagles on the spread -3 pts.

Week 8 NFL

Well last week was a very unusual week in the NFL. With a few games really turning form on its head. This week should see normality return and I feel the below four games represent profitable prospects.


Redskins v Bills
Back Bills -6 pts at 10/11


If the Bills bring their run game then the Redskins will struggle on defence. The stats look good for the BILLS as their QB Fitzpatrick is throwing steady numbers. Like Brady he mixes the plays and that has been a large part of the success story in Buffalo - but now its time to push for that playoff spot with the JETS floundering.


Colts v Titans
Back Titans -8.5 pts at 10/11

The Colts are a broken team, they are playing for the bottom (Top Draft) and nothing is going to turn it for them this season. The mother of all passing games was thrown at them this week and now it will be the Titans steady run game, that was shell shocked last week, but should now recover against the pointless Colts.


Vikings v Panthers
Back Panthers -3 pts at 10/11

The trident of Newton, Williams and Smith should see the second string QB for the Vikings lose another game by more than three points. I like the Vikings but I don't like McNabb, has added nothing to their play and I expect nothing from him. So many teams need fresh blood this season and the Vikings certainly could do with young steady QB. Panthers should have too much in the run and they do a good job of stopping Petersons runs from the centre.


Lions v Broncos
Back Lions -3 pts at 10/11


Tebow or not Tebow, that is the question. Well if the Lions play to form then it will not matter. I think the Lions have so much more than Denver in their depth of plays and breadth of passing will allow them to dominate this match. The Broncos can play well , but every dog has its day and the Lions will roar out of town with the points.

PS The Texans v the Jaguars overs is 40 , that's a back for me.

The Monday Night Game Week 7

Well Monday Night matches certainly do come better that this matchup, but lets not beat-up the Jaguars just yet. Tonight's game revolves around the run game - if the Jags cant run the ball with Jones-Drew , then they will give it to their Rookie QB.

If they do that then the Ravens will chew the Jags to pieces , the Ravens have a fantastic defence that quite often bewilders centres and QB's - especially when they move formations before the snap.Sometimes Joe Flacco has been described as a headless chicken - and i think some games warrant that. I however think it is immaturity, if there are no receiver open; then dont force it into a spot, throw it away - learning curve for Joe is a little longer than others. As Joe Madden would say, when two teams are well matched then the one with the best defence wins. These teams are not close so i expect that the Ravens -9 is good. In addition I think the 38.5 total is too low

Ravens -9 pts
Total Points - over 38.5

Late Game Week 7 post

Well four picks this week, 2 losing, one push and one winner. NOT GOOD! Tonight i feel the Colts at +13.5 is not too big. BIG BET for me on this.Painter and Garcon have forged a good relation for the Colts. Peyton as manager is leaving it to his sideline staff, while the Saints will win they will also beat the spread.Peyton runs that team from his physical presence - start to finish, but they wont miss that tonight.

Back Drew and the Saints -13.5 pts

I will be going for 7 winning monday night picks in a row, tune in later.

NFL Handicap betting Week 7

NFL Handicap betting Week 7

Texans v Titans

Back Titans -3

With the Texans down a star receiver this looks like a good opportunity for Chris Johnson to dominate a home game. Texas are on a high at present and finding good form in passing, but their run game is sluggish at best. Hasselbeck is a good QB for the Titans and is beginning to get to know the offence – when to throw and when to hand off to CJ. Titans for me.

Seahawks v Browns

Back Browns -3

Seahawks Tavaris Jackson may not be available for this, so the second string QB for the Seahawks takes over. With Jackson playing I would go with the Hawks, but each team has a similar run game, so this will be down to patience and passing and experience. While Browns QB Mc Coy needs to work on his accuracy I think he will lead the team to beat the spread and send the Hawks packing. Unless the starting QB for the Hawks makes a massive recovery. Browns for me here at –3.

Chiefs’ v Raiders

Back Raiders –4.5

Raiders are playing well and this is one of those games where the rivalry between these two sleeping giants begins to simmer and then boil over. Al Davis knew what it took to beat the Chiefs and that was to “beat” the Chiefs. But times have changed and thus Carson Palmer will make his debut for the Raiders on Sunday.I think he will be a good go-to-guy for Campbell.

I don’t like Matt Cassel; he is an ex Patriot, but a good QB at times. This game will turn on the number of interceptions and the Chiefs will lose that battle. Back the Raiders.

Rams v Cowboys

Back Cowboys –13

This is a must win game for Dallas, The Rams season is over. The Cowboys should slam the Rams into the middle of next week. DeMarcusware should stop the Rams QB from passing in the D and as long as Dallas stop the Rams run game then they should beat the spread.

Monday Night NFL Week 6

Well last night I gave four bets before the late game, three lost and one was a push. However I hope you kept the faith as I gave you the Bears as my triple point bet and the Overs. Both came up to clear the books and put me ahead.

Tonight I go for my 6th Monday Night win in a row. Bet Fred has the JETS at -6.5 at 10/11 - Take it.

The Dolphins are in free fall and for the most part so are the JETS. But the NFL more than any sport is all about emotion and this is one of the leagues biggest, if not the biggest rivalry.

Mark Sanchez is not the QB to bring the JETS into the Superbowl; I hope he is gone by the end of the season, being a JETS fan I would prefer to see someone with more ability mentally and physically. Chad Henne is a good QB but he is out tonight so Moore the replacement is unknown, but the Dolphins are all about the run game. I think the JETS will deal with their run game and give the Dolphins a lesson in pass play, as long as Sanchez does not lose his cool. If he does I hope Rex Ryan drops him and gives old wildly Brunell a run. Watch out for LT running the ball for the JETS , he should set up the red-zone options for the JETS.

NFL Week 6

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All handicap spread bets: Bills +3 , Colts +7 , Patriots –6.5 , Texans +7.5. If your greedy try the overs in the Steelers v Jaguars game of 40 Points.

 Bill’s +3 v Giants.

The Bills surprised us in week 1 and 2, week 3 we thought hmmm could be something here, week 4 ad 5 we are thinking that they are a serious team and a play-off contender. The Giants for me are lacking a run game, passing is fine but receiving has been a problem. They have got the cannon (Ely) but certainly no one to consistently be the go-to-guy. I like the Bills and I like their mix-match play. +3 for me is too good to miss.

COLTS +7 V Bengals'

Well the Colts look like a sorry bunch, their second string QB was up and down last week in performance. But his fourth quarter plays cost them the game and that is where the Colts now need to improve. I think the +7 point advantage is nice to have and perhaps +7.5 might become available. The Colts have won all of the last 7 meetings, this may not be number 8 but should be within the handicap as the Bengals’ equally lack consistency, and the Colts have receivers, but need the correct passes to be played.

PATRIOTS -6.5 V Cowboys

Back the Patriots here, there run game last week was excellent and their pass play was sublime. Being a JETS fan that is hard for me to write. The Cowboys are dangerous and this will be no walk in the park, but they lack the edge in the red-zone and that is something that Brady has in abundance. Greene Ellis should put in another good running performance and Romos' arm will be put to the test with the quick blitz play that NE are fine tuning. Tight game but Brady to run out a winner in the fourth.

TEXANS +7.5 v Ravens

The Ravens have a long winning record against the Texans, while this may continue I like the +7.5 as the spread for the Texans. Joe Flacco relies so much on his defence that at times that he is akin to a headless chicken running behind the D. Matt Schaub is a wonderful QB, very quick and professional, but needs his team to catch up with him at times. They run the ball well, but that will not be the case on Sunday, this however presents a good decoy for the pass game. Back the Texans on the spread..


There will be late game Blog and as ever a Monday Night NFL pick to make it , hopefully, 6 in a row!

Week 5 NFL Picks

Well two winners from four. I was also right about the Oakland match , great to see them win.
Anyway , just to make it a profitable night I am backing the Packers -4.5 at 4/5 to beat the Falcons away. In know this is late , but the run offence by the packers and their picking percentage will hinder the pass play Falcons. If you stay up for this enjoy it ! I am going to bed and hoping that Al Davis will push my bet well over the line.




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Updating this on Saturday I heard the news that AL Davis (Just Win Baby) died. I am taking Oakland out of my picks ,  I think it will now be a very different game. But that's a decision you can take. Instead I like the JETS +9.5 @ 8/11. RIP Al.

Here with this weeks NFL picks, so far this season I have given 17 bets , with 11 winning. Also check out Mulldogs general betting blog : http://mully1.wordpress.com/ and for more NFL there is also http://lonesomepundit.wordpress.com/ Best of luck ! and remember we only ask them to Just Win Baby!

Vikings v Cardinals

Vikings –3

The Vikings are 0-4, if they lose another game then Donovan McNabb will be dropped and we all know how the original prima donna of the NFL will take that.

Each team has losing records, in fact, the Cardinals have won only one game and lost three, hardly inspiring. I think the Vikings problem is not scoring, but defending leads and I think that the Defensive co-ordinator is more at risk than the QB if they lose this match up.Back the Vikings to beat the spread of minus 3, at home.

Raiders v Texans

Texans –5.5

Texans will win this by at least a touchdown. That’s all I should write but essentially the Raiders have been lucky and I think the luck ends with Matt Shaub. He is looking every bit the Superbowl QB and Fosters running coupled with Tate will be a big problem for the Raiders. I think the Texans are playing like New England four years ago, great running plays and drawing in the defence to pass wide or under. Back the Texans to beat the spread at –5.5.

Titans v Steelers

Titans +3

The Titans are a surprise to everyone, except me. I love this team and the spirit they possess. With one of the best running backs the league has ever had in Johnson I think that the Superbowl hung-over Steelers will struggle. Ben Roethlisberger is known to play wild and throw… oh …so late. This suits the Titans and they are well schooled at picking passes, especially wild ones and returning them for points. Expect a close game but I like the Titans +3.

Chief v Colts

Colts –2

If the Colts do not beat the spread here I will buy a hat and eat it. Kansas are creaking after losing 3, but the Colts have lost 4. However, the Colts recent losses were close games and against great opposition. I think Curtis Painter played well last week as the 2^nd string QB for the Colts, we will see more of him in this game. The Colts practice pass defence and are quite good at it, which is a problem for the long pass-addict Matt Cassel.

Back the Colts -2

Monday Night Game Week 4

We have won all of our three Monday Night Game bets - but this one is especially difficult. That’s why I feel backing overs at 40 Total Points is the best bet.

The Colts have no Manning and they look to start Painter who is the official 3rd QB, personally I think the4th QB Orlovsky is much better having spent the summer with the Colts. In any event Tampa should win, they are playing really well against teams whose form has stood the test. Their running game is impressive and their blitz against a rookie QB will be inexorable.

But Dallas should not throw 24 point leads, Vikings should not drop 4 games in a row after leading 3 at HT by 17+ points, and the Lions should not be 4-0. It a bizarre season and last nights Jets v Ravens game summed it up. So sit back and watch what may be steamroller running wild on the Colts; or a surprise package in Painter or Orlovsky, with the commentariat touting a new Marino afterwards.

Back Total Match points over 40 (Even money available)

4 bets last night with 2 winners and 2 losers, the Cowboys blew a big lead and the Lions achived a Franchise record breaking comback. But no damage done to the wallet and tonight should bring home the bacon.

PS.....Some of you asked why I quote Al Davis , he is the CEO of the Raiders and has been since the time of Moses - a wonderful Amabassador for the NFL and America.