Well I posted 7 bets last week with 6 winners (archived), so hopefully the below picks continue the run. Week 4 now, teams and strategies should have settled but it is a strange season so far, with so many teams playing two different halves and falling at the last quarter. By the way at the bottom of the page is a very interesting Statfox link for NFL underdogs given to me by @NC1895 and the Oddschecker link is here Oddschecker Link
Vikings v Chiefs (Double)
Back Vikings – 2
Back over 39.5
The Vikings run offence will be the key here as they try to compensate for McNabb slooooow start. The Vikings in their last three games have thrown away a lead of over 17 points, to lose! But the Chiefs will struggle to run the ball against this defence leaving them exposed in the air; to a team that’s expert at reading plays and picking off passes.
Steelers v Texans
Back Texans – 4
Basically the Steelers are like a team who is on a permanent Superbowl hangover. The Texans at home are clinical and get down the field pretty quick, too quick for the Steelers who rely on Troy to plug the back. Ben isn’t passing too well and the Texans are at least a TD better.
Lions v Cowboys
Back Cowboys –2
The Dallas Cowboys have finally got their act together but Romo has been battered in the process and who knows if he will be ready for Sunday. Their back up QB is more than capable and the Lions will struggle against the home team who, under Ryan, have marshalled their defence into a good operation, but need their offence to wake up to Romo. Romo in my view will make a great head coach. How encouraging is it to see your QB berate receivers when the play is not carried out accurately.
New England v Raiders
Back New England –4
Tom Brady will be piiiiiiieesssed at last weeks farce, losing 21 points to the Bills. He knows the Raider so well and even though this is Al ‘Just Win Baby’ I think Bill Beliache will have a plan to defeat the Raiders and I think it starts will Wes Welker down the middle with lots of tight-end plays…and Tom Brady
Just Win Baby!
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